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Trustworthy scientific inference in the age of AI

The key challenge to establishing justification for our scientific beliefs based on what AI models produce is solvable.

What happened to the shipwreck?

A look at the history of shipping on the Great Lakes and a question about the role that a rare event played in it.

Formalisms and frontal lobes

Some quick thoughts on project management.

From Gauss to Kolmogorov

A digest of the paper ``From Gauss to Kolmogorov: Localized measures of complexity for ellipses'' by Yuting Wei, Billy Fang, and Martin Wainwright (EJS, 2020).

History, meet your match!

An exposition of the computer model calibration method originated in the field of oil reservoir engineering known as "history matching."

On answering the wrong question

Some examples of how statistical hypothesis testing sometimes answers different questions than we would like to ask.

What does elo measure?

A definition of elo rating. An analysis of a chess game of mine. An inaugural entry in an amateur chess diary, if you will.

Self-fulfilling prophecies and Big Data

A look at inequality as it's driven by algorithmic thinking. Some advertising data investigation. A discussion of the book "Weapons of Math Destruction" by Cathy O'Neil.

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